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2109601 documents, page 1 of 210961

The Determinants of Mortality

Mortality rates have fallen dramatically over time, starting in a few countries in the 18th century, and continuing to fall today. In just the past century, life expectancy has increased by over 30 years. At the same time, mortality rates remain much higher in poor countries, with a difference in life expectancy between rich and poor countries of also about 30 years. This difference persists despite the remarkable progress in health improvement in the last half century, at least until the HIV...

Leveraged Bubbles

What risks do asset price bubbles pose for the economy? This paper studies bubbles in housing and equity markets in 17 countries over the past 140 years. History shows that not all bubbles are alike. Some have enormous costs for the economy, while others blow over. We demonstrate that what makes some bubbles more dangerous than others is credit. When fueled by credit booms, asset price bubbles increase financial crisis risks; upon collapse they tend to be followed by deeper recessions and slo...

低線量肺CT検診車における初期成績

当センターでは、2005年2月から車載型のマルチスライスCTによる肺癌検診を始めた。今回は、この初期成績を報告する。対象は2007年3月までに低線量肺CT検診を受診した者とし、当センターの人間ドックによるCT検診は含まないこととした。CT装置は日立メディコ社製4列のマルチディテクターを使用し、条件は「低線量CTによる肺癌検診の手引き」に基づき撮影した。読影は遠隔読影システムによるシングル読影で行った。全体で、のべ7,653名受診し、男性4,491名、女性3,162名であった。平均年齢は56.4歳であった。初回受診者は6,106名、経年受診者は1,547名で経年受診率は20%であった。要精検者数は全体で790名、初回受診群は644名、経年受診群は146名であった。要精検率は全体で10.3%、初回受診群10.5%、経年受診群9.4%であった。制度管理ガイドラインによると初回受診8%以下、経年受診で5%以下が望ましいとあり、当センターでは特に経年受診の要精検率が高率である。原因として、遠隔読影システムで読影を行っており、比較読影が困難であることが考えられる。精検受診者数は全体で563名...

Modelling long-term hydrochemical response at ENCORE catchments in the UK and Norway

MAGIC, a catchment-scale model of soil and water acidification, is applied to 10 ENCORE catchments in the UK and Norway and used to examine the dynamic response to several scenarios of future land-use. The model is evaluated against catchment manipulation studies involving acid addition, acid exclusion, terrestrial liming and upland afforestation. Critical loads for sulphur are calculated. At all sites MAGIC successfully simulates present-day observed stream and soil chemistry. The predicted ...

Earthquake nucleation and propagation on rate and state faults: single versus two state variables formulation and evolution by Kato–Tullis law

Earthquake nucleation and propagation has been studied extensively within the framework of single rate and state formulation with either the aging or the slip evolution laws. In this presentation we report on our ongoing work on simulating earthquake cycles on faults described by the two state variables formulation of the rate and state law. Beside the slip and aging evolution law we also consider the composite state law proposed by Kato and Tullis [2001]. The two state formulation has been f...