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7118 Publications
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  • Cost Allocation in Water Resources -- Three Gaming Experiments with Young Scientists at IIASA

    Stahl, I. (1981)
    This paper reviews three gaming experiments with a game on cost allocation in water resources, carried out with young scientists from eight countries at IIASA. The game is aimed at testing some different methods of cost allocation. In earlier experiments the game had mainly been used to test the predictive ability of these methods. In the three experiments reported on here the emphasis was on testing the normative relevance of these methods. All the players were initially given an overvi...

    Program for Ecology and Environment Project

    The overall goal of the project is to demonstrate the practical and theoretical value of combining good ecology, good modeling and good policy analysis in the resolution of resource and environmental problems. There are effective examples of one or even combinations of two of these three, but no example exists of the combination of all three. This goal will be implemented by analyzing specific applied problems, developing a framework for ecological indicators and by initiating concepts of env...

    Uncertainties in emissions estimates of greenhouse gases and air pollutants in India and their impacts on regional air quality

    Greenhouse gas and air pollutant precursor emissions have been increasing rapidly in India. Large uncertainties exist in emissions inventories and quantification of their uncertainties is essential for better understanding of the linkages among emissions and air quality, climate, and health. We use Monte Carlo methods to assess the uncertainties of the existing carbon dioxide (CO2), carbon monoxide (CO), sulfur dioxide (SO2), nitrogen oxides (NOx), and particulate matter (PM) emission estimat...

    Marriage and Fertility in China: A Lexis-Surface Analysis

    Patterns of marriage and fertility in China have changed rapidly over the last three decades. Fertility has dramatically declined, especially before age 20 and after age 30. Marriage remains virtually' universal, but the age of first marriage, previously concentrated between ages 16 and 20, has shifted upward to between ages 20 and 25. These trends were sharply punctuated by marriage and fertility booms and slumps associated with the disturbances of the Great Leap Forward and the Cultural Rev...

    Analysis of Uncertainty in Deterministic Rainfall Runoff Models

    Wood, E.F. (1974)
    The uncertainty in the output of a deterministic model, due to the uncertainty in the parameters of the model, is analyzed and compared to current procedures of using average values for the uncertain parameters. The present analysis considers an analytical rainfall-runoff flood frequency model where the infiltration parameter is considered as a stochastic variable. The same conceptual procedure can be used to analyze fixed but uncertain (unknown) parameters.
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