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Galen, J. Van (2011)
Publisher: Co-Action Publishing
Journal: Tellus A
Languages: English
Types: Article
In numerical weather prediction most error statistics with respect to forecasts of air pressure systems suffer from an intrinsic blending of “shape” errors with location errors. Separation of both effects is desirable. A method is presented which appears to be suited to meet this objective as far as short-term predictions are concerned, neglecting possible rotational effects. The scheme has not yet been in use operationally, but the results of some test cases are discussed in this paper. No reference is made to probability predictions nor to any economic purposes of evalution from the users' point of view, since the only aim is the scientific one of checking the behaviour of numerical models.DOI: 10.1111/j.2153-3490.1970.tb01934.x
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    • Bleeker, W. 1946. The verification of weather fore- orological Service of Canada, Canada-Depart - casts. Kon. Ned. Meteor. Inst. publ. 125: Medede- m n t of Tramport-Meteorological Branch, 24 pp. lingen en Verhandelingen ( B ) ,1, No. 2 , 23 pp. Johnson, D. H. 1957. Forecast verification: A critiBrier, 0. W. & Allen, R. A. 1951. Verification of cal survey of the literature.London, A i r Minietry, weather forecasts. Compendium of meteorology, Meteorological Research Committee, M.R.P. 1056, American Meteorological Society, Boston, Mess. S.C. 111237, 40 pp. pp. 841-848. Murphy, A. H. & Epstein, E. S. 1967. Verification of Holyoke, D. L. 1965. Verification of objective fore- probabilistic predictions: a brief review. Journal of casts at the Central Analysis Office of the Mete- Applied Meteorology 6, pp. 748-755.
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