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Anh, V. V.; Yu, Z. G.; Wanliss, J. A.; Watson, S. M. (2005)
Languages: English
Types: Article
Subjects:
This paper provides a method to predict magnetic storm events based on the time series of the Dst index over the period 1981-2002. This method is based on the multiple scaling of the measure representation of the Dst time series. This measure is modeled as a recurrent iterated function system, which leads to a method to predict storm patterns included in its attractor. Numerical results are provided to evaluate the performance of the method in outside-sample forecasts.

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