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Dave Maré; Jason Timmins (2003)
Types: Preprint
Subjects: employment growth, migration, regional development
jel: jel:R23, jel:R11, jel:J61
This paper examines whether New Zealand residents move from low-growth to high-growth regions, using New Zealand census data from the past three inter-censal periods (covering 1986-2001). We focus on the relationship between employment growth and migration flows to gauge the strength of the relationship and the stability of the relationship over the business cycle. We find that people move to areas of high employment growth, but that the probability of leaving a region is less strongly related to that region's fortunes. We also find that migration flows to the metropolitan regions of Auckland, Canterbury and Wellington include a higher proportion of international immigrants compared with the rest of New Zealand.
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    • Choy, W. K., Maré, D. and Mawson P. (2002), “Modelling Regional Labour Market Adjustment in New Zealand”, Working Paper 02/01, New Zealand Treasury.
    • Gibson, J. (1993): "Regional Consequences of New Zealand Industry Assistance Policies", New Zealand Journal of Geography, vol. 95, no. 1, pp. 2-6.
    • Glass H. and Choy, W. K. (2001), “Brain Drain or Brain Exchange?” Working Paper 01/22, New Zealand Treasury.
    • Kerr, S., Maré D., Power, W. and Timmins, J. (2001), "Internal Mobility in New Zealand", Working Paper 01/04, New Zealand Treasury.
    • Maré, D. and Timmins J. (2000), "Internal Migration and Regional Adjustment: Some Preliminary Issues", Proc. 9th Labour Employment and Work in New Zealand Conference, pp. 73-86.
    • Poot, J. (1995), “Do Borders Matter? A Model of Interregional Migration in Australasia”, Australasian Journal of Regional Studies, vol. 1, no. 2, pp. 159-82.
    • Poot, J. (1986), “A System Approach to Modelling the Inter-Urban Exchange of Workers in New Zealand”, Scottish Journal of Political Economy, vol. 33, no. 3, pp. 249-274.
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